Independent security analysts say Russian forces in eastern and southern Ukraine are maneuvering with less resistance than forces further north and approaching the cities of Kyiv and Kharkiv, where the attacks were less sophisticated and the Ukrainian army was successful in engaging Moscow. army.
Frederick W. Kagan, director of the Critical Threats Project at the American Enterprise Institute, said that Russian military units were trying to besiege the capital Kyiv from the start and push into Kharkiv.
Those Russian forces met stiffer resistance than they expected.
A report from Janes, the defense intelligence firm, shows that Russian forces crossing the border near Kharkiv “appear to have become mired in fierce skirmishes”. The Janes report said images from social media showed “several armored columns were ambushed”.
Kagan said that the longer and better Ukrainian forces fought, the more time Ukraine had to prepare for insurgency operations and the more pain they could inflict on Moscow’s forces, he said. Kagan said.
“We really have to consider the possibility that Putin expected the Ukrainians to attack and not expect them to fight,” Kagan said, noting that the initial missile attack on Ukraine was only limited to about 100 attacks.
Mr. Putin has done little to prepare the Russian public for a long war, and the more the Ukrainians hold their ground, the more they can undermine the Russian President’s position.
However, Russia’s activities in eastern and southern Ukraine appear to be far more effective to independent analysts.
According to George Barros, a researcher on the Russian team at the Research Institute, the best-trained and most combat-ready forces are located outside the Donbas, the southeastern region where Ukraine has been fighting the separatists. backed by Russia for 8 years. Of war.
Those more experienced forces, instead of confronting the Ukrainian forces stationed on the front lines of the Donbas, attacked by maneuvering around the trenches and moving behind defensive positions. At the same time, forces in Crimea began to move northward, radiating in two directions.
“That would put them in a position to get close to the Ukrainian defenders on the line of communication from behind,” said Kagan. “It’s a pretty well designed operation.”
Those Russian forces may be trying to encircle and encircle the Ukrainian army in the Donbas.
“If the Russians were to maneuver in such a way that Ukrainian forces had to withdraw from their defensive positions and then fight openly in a significant way, that would reduce the material advantage that the Ukrainian defenders had. if the Russians launched a frontal attack. out of the occupied Donbas,” said Mr. Kagan.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/24/world/europe/russian-forces-are-meeting-more-resistance-near-kyiv-and-kharkiv-than-farther-south-analysts-say.html Analysts say Russian forces are facing more resistance near Kyiv and Kharkiv than further south.