Boris Johnson could face a difficult vote in his leadership within days, but even if he avoids a challenge, by-elections in Wakefield and the seats of Tiverton and Honiton in Devon on June 23 are imminent
Boris Johnson has been warned he faces obliteration in a critical Red Wall by-election this month as he fights to save his position as prime minister.
A new poll gave Labor a 20-point lead over the Conservatives in Wakefield, where voters will choose a replacement for ex-Tory MP Imran Ahmad Khan after he was convicted of sexually assaulting a teenager.
The West Yorkshire seat was won by the Tories for the first time in decades in 2019 when Labor’s so-called Red Wall fell to Mr Johnson’s party.
But constituency polls by JL Partners for the Sunday Times put Labor on 48 points, compared with 28 points for the Tories – a drop of 19 points from their 2019 performance.
James Johnson, co-founder of JL Partners and former No10 pollster during Theresa May’s tenure, said Partygate appears to have damaged the Tory’s reputation among Red Wall voters.
The election expert said the main reason swing voters in the West Yorkshire seat voted to favor Labor was that “Boris Johnson tried to cover up Partygate and lied to the public”.
Voters also felt that he was not concerned with working-class concerns.
According to the company, 60% of respondents to the online poll, conducted between May 13 and 22, had a negative opinion of the prime minister.
Mr Johnson tweeted: “The biggest concerns about the Conservative election: trust, Boris, and a feeling that the Tories are out of touch and only care about the rich.
“There is every indication that Partygate has expressed historic concerns about the Tories and has vehemently alienated the people of Wakefield.”
There is also work to be done for Labor leader Keir Starmer, who had a -28 rating (21% positive, 49% negative).
Voters will go to the polls in Wakefield and at the seat of Tiverton and Honiton in Devon on June 23 in two crucial by-elections.
The Liberal Democrats are hoping to deal a blow to the Tories in Tiverton after being emboldened by local election gains in the south.
Mr Johnson’s leadership is on the brink after Sue Gray’s scathing Partygate report and mutinous Tories threaten to trigger a no-confidence vote later this week.
The Prime Minister was granted an anniversary reprieve by Tory conspirators but his attempts to enjoy the celebrations were marred by public boos at a church service and party at Buckingham Palace.
Tory 1922 Committee officials have reportedly set Wednesday as the day for a vote of no confidence in Mr Johnson’s leadership.
Only 1922 boss Sir Graham Brady knows if enough Conservatives wrote letters of no confidence to Mr Johnson to trigger a vote.
54 MPs – or 15% of the parliamentary party – must write to Sir Graham to trigger a vote.
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/boris-johnson-warned-wakefield-election-27149940 Boris Johnson warned of disaster in Wakefield by-election as no confidence vote threatens