Can Emmanuel Macron form a coalition to beat Marine Le Pen?

Emmanuel Macron has resumed his campaign for a second term at the Élysée Palace with a series of visits to Marine Le Pen strongholds.

The president who won the first ballot ‘fought minimally’ ahead of Sunday’s vote The Washington Post said, but now seems ready “for two intense weeks of wooing voters who picked other candidates or sat in the first round.”

Le Pen’s strong showing in the first round has “unnerved the president’s supporters,” the newspaper added, leaving Macron to piece together what that is financial times (FT) described as having a diverse cast of “liberals and internationalists” to secure his re-election.

Scripted ending, unscripted future

As elections ended on Sunday, all signals pointed to a repeat of the 2017 runoff between Macron and Le Pen. Now a “renewed fight for votes” is underway BBC said, with the president’s team prioritizing “a series of big rallies and big TV appearances.”

lepen, who received 23.1% of the votes in the first ballotcan almost certainly “count on supporters of Éric Zemmour, whose tougher nationalism earned him fourth place and 7%,” the channel added.

Nationalist Nicolas Dupont-Aignan has also endorsed her, meaning the National Rally leader “can count on an impressive 33% of the total vote”.

Macron, who received 27.8% of the vote, is widely expected to catch up with the 5% of voters who backed Green candidate Yannick Jadot, as well as the 4.8% who voted for conservative Valérie Pécresse. Both have backed the president after being eliminated in the first round. but Calculating the remainder of Macron’s votes is a bit trickier.

With far-left Jean-Luc Mélenchon out of the running, his millions of voters could find themselves “kingmakers” in the second round, The guard called. Mélenchon has urged his supporters not to vote for Le Pen, but has not directly supported Macron.

They “could decide the election while Macron tries to win them over to hold back the far right,” the newspaper added, but they could stay home with their candidate out of the running. The “youth vote”, which Mélenchon widely supported, will be “crucial” for Macron.

“Some of his supporters have told pollsters they will vote for Le Pen at the opposite end of the political spectrum,” the FT said, while “polls from both Ipsos and Elabe show that Mélenchon supporters split their votes in three ways, between abstaining, supporting Macron and voting for Le Pen in a second round”.

That means the president faces a struggle to hold together a “Republican front” made up of the political center, soft right, soft left, and hard left to support Le Pen’s completed coalition of “populists and nationalists.” to beat. , added the paper.

Unlikely bedfellows

While the Macron-Le Pen runoff is a direct repeat of the 2017 election, “so far, the 2022 race has been anything but a repeat of the contest Macron won five years ago.” France 24 reported.

“This race was anything but a procession to a predictable outcome,” with Macron moving on to “put down the celebrations” of his first-lap win.

His presidency has “smashed mainstream conservatives and angered leftists,” the channel added, with pundits warning that “the Republican front won’t be sure to come to the rescue this time, leading Macron to a second term.”

Mélenchon’s voters are by no means the natural bedfellows of the incumbent, who “has promised to continue his economic reforms and maintain his policies of liberal internationalism” if he wins a second term, the FT reported.

A Mélenchon voter told The Guardian they were “concerned that people are not bothering to vote in the finals”, adding: “I voted for Mélenchon because he fought for equality and it was a lot There were racists running for president. I wonder what I should do myself, whether I should vote for Macron or just a blank ballot.”

This sentiment was shared by other leftist arsonist supporters. Vincent Martigny, a political scientist at the University of Nice, told the Washington Post: “Left voters really hold the key to this election. They are the kingmakers.”

“The mood in France is nervous, it’s rebellious,” The economist called. Macron has “cut out his job to win over voters on the disappointed left and centre-right”.

“As he himself recently warned supporters at a rally outside of Paris, there is no room for complacency.” Can Emmanuel Macron form a coalition to beat Marine Le Pen?

Fry Electronics Team

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