Experts say COVID is nearing its peak across the UK – proving the doomsday that got Sage scientists wrong.
Official records show that as of 8 January, daily infections began to decline in the South East, East of England and in London.
Cases are still increasing in all other regions, but at a much slower rate than in the past.
That’s because a string of extremely aggressive studies show Omicron IS to be milder than other strains, with the first official UK report showing a 50 to 70 per cent lower risk of hospitalization compared to Delta.
Health officials have repeatedly said the Covid booster shots protect against Omicron and offer the best chance of weathering the pandemic.
The Sun’s Jabs Army campaign is helping to get key additional vaccines in British arms to avoid the need for any new restrictions.
Last month, Sage scientists issued a dismal warning that more than 75,000 Britons could die of Covid this winter – with a total of 175,000 hospitalizations between 1 December 2021 and 30 April 2022. .
But Professor Paul Hunter, a professor of medicine at the University of East Anglia and an adviser to the WHO, said cases appeared to be slowing across the country.
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I said walkie talkie: “I think it’s starting to sound pretty hopeful, but we’ve been here in the past.
“Fortunately, the worst-case scenarios that were talked about before Christmas by the SAGE modelers didn’t happen.
“I think [number of hospitalisations and deaths] will fall far short of the worst-case scenarios discussed before Christmas.
“In the UK we peaked around 3,800 – 4,000 hospital admissions a day, on average a year ago, but we’ll probably peak around 2,000 this winter.”
This comes as modelers advising the Government admit the number of winter deaths from the new strain will be “significantly” lower than they had anticipated, mainly because the strain of bacteria This is less deadly than they think Online email report.
Dr Nick Davies and his team at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine built early models assuming Omicron was as deadly as the Delta strain.
Thankfully, the worst-case scenarios discussed by the SAGE modelers before Christmas didn’t happen.
Professor Paul Hunter
He said: “Now we know that doesn’t seem to be the case in this case, as people end up being hospitalized with Omicron, but they don’t need serious care. [to the same extent as with Delta]”
“The death toll will be greatly reduced [compared with original estimates]. “
He added: “It is clear that our understanding of Omicron has changed dramatically over the past two weeks.”
Today, the number of new Covid cases in the UK fell for the fifth consecutive day, with 141,472 infections recorded today.
The number of Covid patients on ventilators in the UK also fell to its lowest level since October – although experts say there could be around half a million infections a day.
And Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter, a prominent statistician at the University of Cambridge, could see hospitalizations below Sage’s 3,000 a day.
Meanwhile, Professor Kevin Fenton, Regional Director of Public Health England in London, told Sky News that London’s omicron wave has peaked in the new year.
He warned ONS data showed almost one in 10 Londoners were still infected with the virus and that the “critical phase” of the pandemic was not over yet.
But Education Minister Nadhim Zahawi today said he believe that England will be the first to push the pandemic back after us.
“I hope we will be one of the first major economies to show the world how you can go from pandemic to pandemic, and then deal with this even if it persists,” he said. stay with us for how long, whether it’s five, six, seven, 10 years.”
https://www.thesun.ie/health/8179732/covid-nearing-peak-cases-plunge-london/ Covid ‘nearly reaching peak across Britain as cases plunge outside London’ proves SAGE doom mongers WRONG, experts say