Estonia’s spymaster confidently says Ukraine will win war against Russia

An Estonian spymaster has predicted that Ukraine will win the war against Russia as its invasion falters amid a fierce counteroffensive from Kyiv.

Speaking to Michael Weiss, Yahoo News’ chief correspondent, Estonian spymaster Mikk Marran cited the Ukrainian army’s high motivation as the reason he believes it would win against the Russian military. However, Marran noted that he was not sure when Ukraine’s victory would come.

“Ukraine will win,” Marran told Yahoo News when asked how he thought the war in Ukraine would end. “They have to win because for Ukraine it’s a war of independence. It’s not just a regional conflict and that’s why they’re highly motivated.”

Despite his prediction, Marran warned against underestimating the Russian army’s ability to advance and prolong the battle.

“We shouldn’t underestimate their ability to keep going when others would give up. The first conscripts arriving or already arriving in the war zone are the easiest targets for the Ukrainians, but it will probably be a kind of Darwinian cycle of events. Those who survive the first few months will learn how to do the job and become better soldiers,” he added.

Marran, 44, is director general of Välisluureamet, Estonia’s foreign intelligence service. Ahead of Putin’s invasion of Ukraine, the agency assessed the threats and opportunities of a resurgent Russia. Marran will leave the foreign intelligence service and take up the position of the new head of the state forest commission on November 1.

Since the start of the war in Ukraine, Russian forces have invaded and captured several regions in eastern and southern Ukraine, including Zaporizhia, Kherson, Kharkiv, Donestk and Luhansk. However, the Ukrainian army’s counter-offensive, launched in late August, has seen the country continuously retake and liberate areas from Russian occupation.

Last Friday, Ukrainian forces successfully retook 2,434 square kilometers of land and 96 settlements from the Russians, according to President Volodymyr Zelensky, who shared the achievement in his daily address on social media. Ukraine is now trying to extend its gains to the Luhansk region.

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