Expect spike in Covid-19 cases every three months leading to ‘explosive outbreaks’ – WHO


According to the World Health Organization (WHO), there will be an increase in cases of Covid-19 every three months.

The WHO’s special envoy for Covid-19, Dr. David Nabarro said he believes the virus will continue to wreak “societal damage” in the coming months, maybe years.

At a briefing on Covid-19 with 4SD, a social enterprise on the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, Dr. Nabarro, the virus will manifest itself in flares at “three to four month intervals”.

“We are still in the midst of a pandemic as a world from an extremely dangerous virus about which a great deal is still unknown and which I believe will wreak societal and economic damage for months, maybe years, to come,” he said.

dr Nabarro said Covid-19 is not a “trivial virus” and that the challenge of flagging immunity is “so great”.

“My general message to everyone is that this pandemic is global, the virus is proving its ability to explode with an increasing number of cases, and in some cases leading to quite explosive outbreaks at three to four month intervals, and even now now there are outbreaks in China and the Indian subcontinent,” he said.

“My belief that this is a dangerous virus stems from the consistent work that has been done to show that individuals who have had Covid are at high risk of long-term illness and disability and that so are people who have had Covid , there is a risk of an increased incidence of cardiovascular events.”

dr Nabarro said society must prepare for these outbreaks of infection in order to be “Covid ready”.

“If we accept that this virus will manifest itself through fluctuations at three to four month intervals, then we have to prepare for those fluctuations, the whole of society is prepared for it,” he said.

“Remember that since the surges are mostly droplet, the surges will be localized and that means you need to be able to detect an upcoming surge and report it quickly.

“And that preparation for the surge could be the most important part of what I call Covid-ready.”

dr Nabarro said it’s important to prevent transmission, especially when virus levels are high. He said protecting those at high risk requires “changes in behavior among the general public”.

“Apply public health and safety measures, wear well-fitting masks, practice physical distancing, ventilate and maintain good hygiene,” he said.

“There’s no excuse for people to drop those precautions when you’re running with high infection rates, all of which reduce risk.” Expect spike in Covid-19 cases every three months leading to ‘explosive outbreaks’ – WHO

Fry Electronics Team

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