Food price inflation is set to double in the coming months as Britons face a cost of living crisis


Figures this week from the Office for National Statistics showed that food and drink price inflation rose to 5.9% in March, the highest in more than a decade – but analysts say worse is to come

English breakfast
The cost of frying has also skyrocketed in the past year

Food price inflation could more than double in the coming months, experts warn – after shoppers were already hit by the biggest increases in over a decade.

The war in Ukraine, labor shortages and rising energy costs could unleash the perfect storm to push up food prices.

Many forecasters fear that food inflation will exceed 7% in the coming months.

One analyst, Shore Capital’s Clive Black, said it could rise as much as 12% over the summer, with milk alone up 30%.

Food and drink inflation rose to 5.9% last month, the Office for National Statistics said this week – the highest in over 10 years.

Milk prices alone could increase by another 30%


(Getty Images)

Mr Black claimed the government had not done enough to ensure supplies of grain, animal feed, fertilizer and other commodities, adding that it was “completely complacent about food security”.

Ukraine is a major producer of wheat and cooking oil, so Russia’s invasion has pushed up wholesale costs for both.

It also caused oil prices to rise – even before the war – affecting manufacturing and transportation costs.

Grocery prices are rising for a combination of reasons


AFP via Getty Images)

Other factors driving migration costs include a long-term labor shortage in the food industry and currency fluctuations since Brexit.

A government spokesman said: “We continue to work with industry to mitigate current challenges.”

Meanwhile, school lunches are said to be in “crisis” as chicken supplies have been hit by an exodus of Ukrainian butchers.

Brits face higher costs when eating out


(Getty Images)

The cost of fried food has risen by 71p in a year, with the key elements of a traditional English breakfast now costing up to a fifth more.

Some supermarket egg prices are up 5.5%, mushrooms are up 9% and a can of Heinz Baked Beanz is up 15%.

Our team of cost of living experts are here to help YOU through a very difficult year.

They bring you the latest money news and also offer expert advice.

Whether it’s skyrocketing utility bills, the cost of weekly groceries, or increased taxes, our team is always by your side.

Every Thursday at 13:00 they participate in a Facebook Live event to answer your questions and offer their advice. Visit to watch. You can read more about our team of experts here.

If you have a question – or want to share your story – please email

A pack of Waller sausages increased by 13% last year, and bacon by 20.4%.

Costs will rise even further as pig farmers asked retailers to pay more because of feed prices and free-range poultry producers asked supermarkets to increase the price of a dozen eggs by 40p because of fuel costs.

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Fry Electronics Team

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