Is there an ominous parallel between Taiwan and Ukraine?

“Is the Ukraine of today the Taiwan of tomorrow?” That is the burning question being asked here in Taipei, Chen Yun-yu said in Central News Agency (Taipei). Both Ukraine and Taiwan are cursed with neighbors with “imperial ambitions” who have no thought of subverting the “rules-based international order” — not to mention “fundamental principles.” version of right and wrong”. And, like Vladimir Putin with Ukraine, Chinese President Xi Jinping has used increasingly tough words to frighten Taiwan, often describing China’s “reunification” as a “historic task.” of Beijing.

The parallel is also damaging the United States, said Liberty Times Net (Taipei). Last week, sparking anger in Beijing, President Biden sent a delegation of former defense officials to Taiwan to show his support. Chinese state media called it “an obvious provocation”. However, given the way things have turned out with Russia and Ukraine, it’s a perfectly understandable move.

David Spencer said in Taiwan News (Taipei). But a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would be “much more complicated and challenging” than Russia’s Ukraine. Russia shares a 1,200-mile land border with its neighbour, while Taiwan is 100 miles off the Chinese coast and has “very few” beaches where troops can easily land. And the right people are well protected.

More importantly, tell Taipei TimesMr. Xi is unlikely to risk the economic consequences that an invasion would bring. China’s economy is so closely integrated with the rest of the world that sanctions against the country will likely take on a “much more severe” than sanctions against Russia. And since Taiwan is the world’s largest semiconductor producer, a Chinese attack would risk devastating consequences for Beijing and the world economy.

Even so, Taiwan is not as sacrosanct as some have done, Hilton Yip said in Foreign Policy (Washington). Its soft military service – mandatory for four months – is considered “a joke” by many. And their air and ground forces are plagued by operational problems: one of their F-16 fighter jets crashed into the sea in January, the latest in a series of crashes. fatal accidents. In addition, it is “almost an open secret that Taiwan’s main hope of weathering a Chinese attack” rests on military support from an increasingly reluctant US.

However, the demonstration of Western unity in Ukraine will give Xi pause, Sven Hauberg said in a statement. Merkur (München). One thing is for sure, Beijing will be “watching very closely” to see how the Ukraine crisis unfolds in the coming weeks and months. Is there an ominous parallel between Taiwan and Ukraine?

Fry Electronics Team

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