According to a recent forecast for the upcoming midterm elections, the Republicans could win 230 seats in the House of Representatives this November.
The CBS News tracker analyzes races and measures public opinion in a district-by-district model that predicts who will take control of the House of Representatives in November. If proven correct, that means Democrats will hold 205 seats in the House after the midterms.
It is still questionable whether the national surveys are correct.
“Indeed, relying too much on national polls can be misleading, because the party that wins the most votes nationally doesn’t necessarily win the most seats,” CBS noted.
In 2016, national surveys proved more accurate than state surveys.
Democrats hoped recent rulings by the conservative Supreme Court and Republicans’ attack on abortion rights and tough gun control views would help tip the midterm elections in their favor.
Inflation and a possible recession have given Republicans hope that they will win more seats in the House of Representatives.
Democrats have employed a strategy of running ads supporting the most extreme right-wing conservative Republican candidates in the primary. Many hope the strategy would persuade Republicans to vote for a Democrat when they wouldn’t otherwise.
The tracker has a margin of error of plus or minus 12 places. That could give Republicans a slim 218-seat majority or a stronger 242-seat majority.
https://www.ibtimes.com.au/republicans-may-have-230-seats-house-2023-1836582?utm_source=Public&utm_medium=Feed&utm_campaign=Distribution Republicans could have 230 seats in the House by 2023