However important year-end help from critics’ teams helped “Drive My Automotive” crash the Oscar race, the place it claimed nominations for image, director, tailored screenplay and worldwide function. Hollywood doesn’t know Hamaguchi in addition to it bought to know the “Parasite” auteur Bong Joon Ho throughout that movie’s prepandemic Oscar season, so a number of wins could also be laborious to come back by, although there’s at the least one class the place “Drive My Automotive” ought to cruise to a simple victory.
Likeliest win: Finest worldwide function.
Look, it’s no imply feat for a large sci-fi movie to make its approach into the best-picture race, and “Dune” scored 10 nominations whole, considered one of solely two motion pictures to earn a double-digit haul. (“The Energy of the Canine” is the opposite.) It additionally helps that despite the fact that “Dune” debuted concurrently on HBO Max and in theaters, it will probably nonetheless boast the largest box-office efficiency of all of the best-picture nominees, having earned practically $400 million worldwide.
However the absence of Denis Villeneuve from the best-director race was surprising, given his Administrators Guild nomination and the latest tendency for this academy department to appoint technically audacious work. Any likelihood that “Dune” may leverage that snub into an “Argo”-like best-picture win could also be muted by the announcement of the movie’s sequel: Maybe the academy is extra inclined to see how nicely Villeneuve wraps issues up.
Likeliest win: Finest visible results.
You knew it will be an excellent nomination day for “King Richard” when the primary class introduced, for supporting actress, included the movie’s terrific Aunjanue Ellis. Certain sufficient, this inspirational tennis drama picked up a strong six nominations, together with authentic screenplay, modifying, and finest tune for Beyoncé’s “Be Alive.”
However let’s be trustworthy, that is the Will Smith present. Smith has by no means gained an Oscar, however his charismatic efficiency as the daddy of the tennis superstars Venus and Serena Williams has now given the 53-year-old actor his strongest shot but. I’d really feel extra sure if there had already been some televised precursors the place Smith’s acceptance speeches may have introduced the home down, however so long as he triumphs on the Display screen Actors Guild Awards on the finish of this month, he ought to segue easily to an Oscar victory.
Likeliest win: Finest actor.
Any best-picture nominee that additionally picks up director and screenplay nods is doing one thing proper, however I’m a bit stunned that’s all “Licorice Pizza” has to work with. Earlier Paul Thomas Anderson motion pictures like “Phantom Thread,” “There Will Be Blood,” “The Grasp” and “Boogie Nights” earned loads of nominations for his or her forged members, however the “Licorice Pizza” lead Alana Haim and its showy supporting actor Bradley Cooper didn’t handle to punch by way of. Not one of the movie’s below-the-line division heads have been acknowledged, both.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/09/motion pictures/best-picture-nominee-oscar-chances.html Right here’s How Every Finest-Image Nominee May Win an Oscar