EUROPE is on the side of the knife because there is a very real threat of war breaking out on this continent.
The two nations will continue peace talks, but global concerns remain, with the US, EU and NATO waiting for the next move – as Ireland has also been dragged into the mix lately.
The Russians had planned to carry out missile exercises as part of naval exercises in international waters 240 kilometers off the coast of Co Cork, but Defense Minister Simon Coveney at the weekend confirmed that this superpower was agree to move.
Here, international security expert, Professor ANDREW COTTEY of University College Cork, answered some of the burning questions surrounding the escalation.
DOES Russia REALLY INVEST in UKRAINE?
“Russia’s military intervention in some form in Ukraine is very promising.
“It is very likely that Russia will intervene militarily in Ukraine in some way.
“There will be some sort of collective EU economic sanctions on Russia, and Ireland will be part of the 27 EU Member States that have made that decision.
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“One possibility for these exercises is a way for Russia to apply diplomatic pressure on Ireland. The Russian government could say it would pause or scale back the exercises in return for Ireland’s support of a softer line of economic sanctions against Russia. “
THEY DON’T HAPPEN AT IRISH WATERS, BUT WHY IS RUSSIA DOING NAVAL EXERCISES?
“The proposed military exercise would not be unprecedented, as Russia has increased its naval and air activity in the waters around Northern Europe, including the United Kingdom and Ireland, over the decade. via.
“This exercise should be seen in the broader context of what is happening in Ukraine, as this puts NATO and the West more in perspective and complicates their plans to deal with the conflict. Ukraine situation.
“This will be an artillery exercise, the Russian ships will fire real weapons, and so they may be trying to send a message to NATO and the West to warn that Russia has the means to attack. if the West tries to intercept. Russian ships because of the situation in Ukraine.”
WHAT ARE IMPORTANT RUSSIA ARE IN THE AREA?
“Many major transatlantic internet cables run along the seabed in waters off Ireland.
“And one of the concerns is that in a conflict or crisis, Russia might try to cut some of those undersea internet cables to try and cut or disrupt the internet.
“I think that will be a significant concern for the US and UK, but for other European countries.”
CAN IRELAND AVOID PARTICIPATION IN THIS CONTRACT?
“Ireland cannot avoid being drawn into this. There is a conflict, not only between NATO and Russia, but also between the European Union and Russia.
“This is currently a major conflict in Europe, it will have Consequences for Ireland and the question for the Irish Government and the Irish people is how should Ireland view Ireland as an EU member, and that membership is so important to Ireland as a country.
“The idea that Ireland, as it is neutral, can stay out of this issue is really unrealistic and perhaps naive.”
Is IRELAND REALLY NEUTRAL?
“Legally, Ireland is neutral because it has no commitment to collective defense – but in a broader sense, so to speak, Ireland is part of the West.
“Ireland really doesn’t have an air defense system, so Ireland will be relying on the UK for air defense. There have been Russian flights in and around Irish airspace, and British planes have tracked or intercepted those Russian flights because Ireland has no air defenses.
“So in that sense, Ireland is, in part, said to have been dependent on Britain, and to some extent, even NATO, in the area of air defense.”
SHOULD IRELAND JOIN NATO?
“Ireland is very weak defensively and it is argued that Ireland would be better able to protect its interests if it joined NATO.
“That being said, domestic support here in Ireland for neutrality is very strong.
“This could start to fuel a debate about NATO membership in Ireland. That’s largely not the point, but we could see the start of that debate as a result of this. “
https://www.thesun.ie/news/8287429/russia-ukraine-brink-of-war-how-ireland-involved/ Russia and Ukraine are on the brink of war but is it really happening and how is Ireland involved?