Spin over speed and importance of toss – the numbers behind the T20 World Cup

England are building momentum ahead of the men’s T20 World Cup which begins on Friday after notching back-to-back warm-up victories over hosts and holders Australia.

Here, the PA news agency unveils some key trends ahead of the tournament.

Win the Toss and Bowl

There has been a marked shift towards goal pursuit in limited overs cricket.

The prevailing wisdom in the early years of the Twenty20 internationals was to bat first, with the majority of teams that won the draw between 2005 and 2016 opting to do so (52 percent).

However, this trend has reversed since 2017, with most captains choosing to field instead (62 percent).

Led by former captain Eoin Morgan and current skipper Jos Buttler, England have been at the forefront of this change.

England’s T20 side have finished first on 32 of the 34 times they have won the draw since 2017. Up until 2016, their choices were almost evenly split in the draw.

The results of the World Cup indicate that this tactic is successful, especially in the latter stages of the tournament.

Although there is little choice between hitting first or second in the group stage, the chasing team prevailed 57 percent and 71 percent of the time in the semifinals and finals, respectively.

Last year’s knockout matches made that clear, as Australia and New Zealand topped Pakistan and England in the semi-finals before Australia did with the Black Caps in the final.

Spin to prove crucial?

Nine of the world’s top 10 bowlers in the T20 format are classified as spinners, according to the International Cricket Council (ICC).

Even in Australia – where wickets are known for being hard and springy – teams are likely to rely on their slow bowlers to limit their opponents’ hitting rate.

To date, spinners have conceded fewer runs per over than pace bowlers in six of the seven T20 World Championships, with the exception of the tournament’s inaugural edition in 2007.

While the last four World Cups on the subcontinent have been played on spin-promoting pitches, the same pattern has continued for the T20 internationals played in Australia over a longer period – with spin proving to be more economical than pace every year since 2011 .

On average, spinners in Australia concede 7.34 runs per over, compared to an economy rate of 8.02 for the quicks.

England’s Achilles heel

England are coming into form at the right time ahead of the World Cup, with back-to-back wins over Australia last week followed by a series win in Pakistan.

They boast a stacked batting formation and are one of just three sides to have their runs surpassing nine per over since the last tournament ended in November 2021.

However, England’s bowling remains a concern as its economic rate of 8.86 ranks among the worst of its leading rivals over the same period.

No team has won a world championship with an economy rate above 8.13.

Afghanistan wants to challenge big names

  1. Mujeeb Ur Rahman (Afghanistan) – 06.08
  2. Shakib Al Hasan (Bangladesh) – 6.35
  3. Rashid Khan (Afghanistan) – 6.40
  4. Fazalhaq Farooqi (Afghanistan) – 6.44
  5. Sikandar Raza (Zimbabwe) – 6.57

Jos Buttler’s side take on Afghanistan – the lowest-ranked automatic qualifiers in their group – in their opening game next Saturday (22 October).

The bowling assault in Afghanistan is likely to cause problems for England, however, as it includes three of the top five most frugal bowlers in T20s in 2022.

Mujeeb Ur Rahman, Rashid Khan and Fazalhaq Farooqi have all conceded under 6.50 runs per over in the shortest format this year.

For context, Adil Rashid is the tightest bowler in England’s World Cup squad, and his saving rate is 8.11 in 2022.

South Africa ends tournament hoodoo?

South Africa has the highest winning rate of any team in T20 World Cups (63 percent), but they have yet to win the tournament or even reach the final.

The Proteas – going into this event after the recent launch of their new T20 franchise tournament (SA20) – have earned a reputation for failing at world championships, having also failed to reach the finals in the 50-over version to reach.

The current side has the clout to unnerve any opponent, having scored 200 or more points in five of their 13 T20 innings in 2022 — by far the best average of any team.

  1. Rilee Rossouw (South Africa) – 176.84
  2. Tim David (Australia) – 174.83
  3. Finn Allen (New Zealand) – 168.44
  4. Jimmy Neesham (New Zealand) – 168.28
  5. Tristan Stubbs (South Africa) – 166.24

South Africa’s middle class is made up of in-form players like Rilee Rossouw, Tristan Stubbs and David Miller, all averaging over 30 this year and hitting over 150 runs per 100 balls.

Much like England, their weakness lies on the bowling front, but that could change if the likes of Kagiso Rabada and Anrich Nortje can repeat their recent Test form in the shortest format.

https://www.independent.co.uk/sport/cricket/england-australia-eoin-morgan-rashid-khan-adil-rashid-b2202045.html Spin over speed and importance of toss – the numbers behind the T20 World Cup

Fry Electronics Team

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