According to the latest polling data, the Conservatives could face victory in the next general election.
A YouGov/Times poll released yesterday puts Labor about 33 points ahead of the Conservatives in what is believed to be Labor’s widest poll lead since 1998.
The poll puts Labor at 54 percent, the Conservatives at just 21 percent.
Another poll by election forecasters Electoral Calculus and Find Out Now predicted that Labor would win a majority of over 100 seats in the upcoming general election, while the Conservatives would fall to their lowest share of the vote in the country’s history.
Such a result would see the Tories lose six seats to Labor and the Liberal Democrats in Sussex. They would lose Eastbourne, Hastings and Rye, Crawley, Lewes, West Worthing and East Worthing and Shoreham.
Sir Peter Bottomley, who first became MP in 1975, would lose his Worthing West seat. Maria Caulfield would lose Lewes, Caroline Ansell would be replaced at Eastbourne and Sally-Ann Hart would lose Hastings. Henry Smith would also lose at Crawley, as would Tim Loughton at East Worthing and Shoreham.
Another forecast by Election Maps UK, based on the YouGov poll, predicted that the Conservatives would lose more than 300 seats if an election were held today, while the Tories would be reduced to just four seats in Sussex.
What *this* YouGov poll might look like in a general election:
LAB: 498 (+296)
CON: 61 (-304)
SNP: 36 (-12)
LDM: 29 (+18)
SPS: 4 (=)
Others: 2 (+2)
GRN: 1 (=)
Worker majority of 346 pic.twitter.com/E2cXu5LNAo
— Election Maps UK (@ElectionMapsUK) September 29, 2022
Martin Baxter, CEO of Electoral Calculus, said: “Our new poll confirms that Liz Truss’s government has gotten off to a terrible start with the British public.
“The Conservatives won 2019 in part because Boris Johnson was an electoral credit and Jeremy Corbyn was a mandatory electoral. That has all changed, and not to the Conservatives’ advantage.
“Moreover, the mini-budget, with its unfunded tax cuts, is no more popular with voters than it is with financial markets.”
Other Conservative MPs at risk of losing their seats include eight cabinet ministers, former Prime Minister Boris Johnson and former Conservative Party leader Iain Duncan Smith.
Prime Minister Truss and Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng are due to meet the Office of Fiscal Responsibility later in the day after the market turmoil that followed last week’s mini-budget.
The government’s announcement of a £45 billion tax cut pledge sent the pound to historic lows, forcing the Bank of England to step in to calm markets and prevent pension funds from going bust.
https://www.theargus.co.uk/news/22953325.conservatives-lose-six-seats-sussex-next-general-election/?ref=rss The Conservatives could lose six seats in the next Sussex general election