The real global death toll of Covid-19

The Covid-19 pandemic may have claimed the lives of 18.2 million people worldwide, more than three times the official death toll, a US study has revealed.

The report, conducted by a team at the University of Washington and published in Fingertips Roughly two years on from the day the World Health Organization (WHO) declared a pandemic, finding that the official global death toll is 5.9 million could be a significant underestimate.

The researchers based their calculations on the number of “excessive deaths” that they believe are caused by Covid-19, BBC. It is “a convenient tool to bridge differences in how countries diagnose and record virus deaths,” it added. nature.

The overall global mortality rate calculated by the researchers is 120 deaths per 100,000 people, or about 18.2 million Covid deaths in 2020 and 2021.

The study found that Russia had the highest excess mortality rate, at 375 per 100,000 people. The rate is also high in lower-income countries in Latin America, Europe and sub-Saharan Africa. They are also high in Italy and parts of America.

In the UK, estimated total number of deaths related to Covid in 2020 and 2021 are similar to official records, at around 173,000. Several countries saw excess mortality decline, including Iceland, Australia and Singapore.

walkie talkie said the findings “cry” with research by The Economist’s data team, which is also tracking excess deaths as a result of the pandemic.

Some experts have questioned the accuracy of the Washington report. Ariel Karlinsky, an economist at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem who has studied overestimates of deaths, criticized the report’s “ridiculous estimate for Japan at more than 100,000 deaths, more than six times that” times the number of reported deaths,” Nature said.

Jonathan Wakefield, a US statistician who heads the WHO’s global death toll project, said the report’s model had some “strange characteristics”.

The researchers acknowledge that some excess deaths, such as suicide, drug use, or reduced access to health care, may be only indirectly related to the pandemic.

Lead author, Dr Haidong Wang, from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation in Seattle, Washington, said: “Understanding the true death toll from the pandemic is critical to making public health decisions effectively.”

The report comes days after Dr Richard Hatchett, executive director of the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations, told a conference that estimates of excess mortality were “nearly similar. ” with the death toll in World War I. The real global death toll of Covid-19

Fry Electronics Team

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