MUNICH – President Biden and his top aides admit they are risking the credibility of the United States by repeatedly warning that Russia is “just days away” from triggering a war. Land warfare in Europe could push the world back to something akin to the Cold War.
But aides to Mr Biden say they are willing to take that risk.
They say they would rather be accused of exaggeration and fear than be proven true, if that is necessary to prevent President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia from pursuing an invasion they worry will not stopped at the Ukrainian border.
“If Russia did not invade Ukraine, then we would be relieved that Russia changed course and proved our predictions wrong,” Foreign Secretary Antony J. Blinken said at the United Nations Security Council. United Nations on Thursday.
Mr. Biden and Mr. Blinken have made no secret of their suspicion that their disaster prevention efforts are likely to fail. And their pessimism was bolstered on Thursday by a series of escalations.
The US assessment of what Mr. Putin is doing has also changed over time.
After the Russian leader issued a proposed “treaty” in December, it appeared he had a bigger plan: to expel the United States and NATO forces from the countries of the former Soviet bloc join NATO and restore the world order created after the collapse of the Soviet Union. 31 years ago.
Then, two weeks ago, intelligence and military officials said that Mr. Putin was targeting Kyiv, Ukraine’s capital, after concluding that cyberattacks and subversion alone could not replace government – only a large-scale invasion would do.
So the Biden administration is trying to test Mr. Putin’s profits.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/18/world/the-us-says-its-willing-to-risk-being-wrong-over-its-warnings-of-an-invasion.html The US has said it is willing to accept mistakes in light of warnings of an invasion.