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US hopes to prevent a Russian invasion of Ukraine

So there is no question about what is happening on the Ukrainian border. Firepower can be seen there, and it’s part of Putin’s coercive strategy. The only mystery left is what Putin intends to do with them. Initially, US officials thought he intended to use them to intimidate the Ukrainian government, force the country to abandon its ambitions to join NATO at some unspecified point in the future, and prevent a drift about western side.

Then, after Putin issued a proposed “treaty” in December, it appeared he had a bigger plan in mind: to expel the United States and NATO forces from the former Soviet bloc countries. joined NATO, and restored the world order created then. the collapse of the Soviet Union 31 years ago. Two weeks ago, the US assessment changed again: Mr. Putin, intelligence and military officials said, was targeting Kyiv, Ukraine’s capital, after concluding that cyberattacks and subversion alone dumping is not capable of displacing government. Only an all-out invasion would do that.

So the Biden administration is trying to test Mr. Putin’s profits. If the issue can be resolved by negotiating a new arms control treaty that addresses Putin’s concerns about two garrisons in Poland and Romania, or rules around military exercises, organized by Russia and NATO, the two will have the opportunity to implement the agreements. said. And they say there are chances to renegotiate the Minsk agreement, a set of commitments made by Ukraine and Russia after the annexation of Crimea. Those things were selectively ignored, on both sides.

But it seems that longtime American officials and many European diplomats are learning in Munich that Mr. Putin has put all this expense and this effort, and put his legacy first, only to Paint inside the lines of the existing order. . He wants to turn it upside down.

Since Putin came to power 20 years ago, “Russia has been challenging that system,” said Angela Stent, a Brookings Institution scholar and former national intelligence provider for Russia and Eurasia, written in Foreign Affairs magazine. “The current crisis is ultimately about Russia redrawing the post-Cold War map and seeking to reassert its influence over half of Europe, based on the claim that it is guaranteeing the security of the country. self.”

That doesn’t mean there’s no way out.

During the Cuban missile crisis, the closest the world was to nuclear annihilation during the Cold War, Khrushchev ended up bringing home his rockets in return for a secret promise Kennedy had made. a few months later – brought out the American Jupiter rocket. of Turkey, where their nuclear warheads were within easy range of the Soviet Union.

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/17/us/politics/united-states-russia-ukraine-predictions.html US hopes to prevent a Russian invasion of Ukraine

Fry Electronics Team

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