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What to Expect from Vladimir Putin’s Victory Day Parade on May 9th

Vladimir Putin could use a military parade planned for May 9 to officially declare war on Ukraine, US and Western officials say.

Such an announcement “would allow for the full mobilization of Russian reserve forces as the invasion effort continues to falter.” CNN reported. And it could be scheduled to coincide with Victory Day, an event commemorating the country’s defeat by the Nazis in 1945.

British Defense Secretary Ben Wallace last week became the first western politician to officially say the day could be marked by an official declaration of war LBC that Putin will use the symbolic date “to withdraw from his ‘special operation'”.

“He got the ball rolling and laid the groundwork for him to be able to say, ‘Look, this is a war against the Nazis now, and what I need is more people. I need more Russian cannon fodder,” Wallace said. “Probably this May Day he will declare that we are now at war with the Nazis of the world and must mobilize the Russian people en masse.”

victory out of defeat

According to the i news Website, Moscow’s shift to Consolidation of control over Donbass in eastern Ukraine is linked to Putin’s desire to tout some tangible military victories ahead of Victory Day, the “most significant date in the nation’s politico-military calendar.”

Marking the “triumph of the Soviet Union over Germany in World War II,” the holiday is marked by demonstrations of Russian strength, including “a grand military parade in Moscow’s Red Square.”

Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov told Italian broadcaster Mediaset this week that the Russian military “will not artificially adjust its actions to any date, including Victory Day,” adding, “The pace of the operation in Ukraine will depend primarily on the.” Need to minimize risks to civilians and Russian military personnel.

“We will celebrate May 9 as we always do,” he said. “Remember those who fell for the liberation of Russia and other republics of the former USSR, for the liberation of Europe from the Nazi plague.”

But despite Lavrov’s efforts to downplay the impact of the ongoing conflict on Victory Day plans, the West should expect Putin to see “some sabers rattling” ahead of the military parade, he said forbes‘ National Security agent Craig Hooper.

“Ukraine should be a showcase for Russia’s advanced weapons and authoritarian government,” he said. “But Ukraine has shown that both are hollow.” Moscow’s troops “Failed” to take control of significant territorieswhile Putin’s “overreach” “has intensified worldwide appreciation for ‘rules-based’ order”.

Putin is left with no choice but to appeal to “nationalism and Russian nihilism,” he added, implying that the events of the 9th West.

propaganda potential

To highlight some achievements in Ukraine, the Kremlin may order hundreds of Ukrainian POWs to be paraded during a parade in Red Square, a think tank has warned.

That Center for Defense Strategiesstationed in Ukraine said 500 captured militants “could be forced to walk across Red Square for cameras”.

British fighter planes currently being held by Russia include Aiden Aslin and Shaun Pinner. Both were “captured in the besieged city of Mariupol” and “have since been shown on Russian state television.” The times reported.

Andrew Hill, another Briton, “is said to have been arrested by Russia after video surfaced showing a man being interrogated on Russian television,” the newspaper added.

With less than a week to go until May 9, Moscow “may also examine places other than Donbass to make a statement,” CNN reported.

admission of failure

Options for celebrating the event could include “the annexation of the breakaway Luhansk and Donetsk regions,” a “push to the south of Odessa,” or the declaration of “control over the southern port city of Mariupol.”

State Department spokesman Ned Price said this week that the US has “good reason to believe that the Russians will do everything in their power to use the event for propaganda purposes,” adding that Moscow “doubled” propaganda “as a means to do so.” distract from their tactical and strategic mistakes on the battlefield”.

He went on to say that it “would be very ironic” if Moscow took the opportunity “to declare war,” implying that it would “allow them to reinforce conscripts in a way that they do.” cannot now, in a way that would be tantamount to revealing to the world that their war effort is failing, that they are faltering in their campaign.”

The parade could also show that the election campaign is causing problems in Ukraine. The Telegraph reported that “fewer soldiers and armored vehicles will attend the event” since the “war in Ukraine has so dramatically weakened the Russian military.”

“About 130 military vehicles will take part in the parade,” the newspaper said, citing documents from the Russian Defense Ministry, “compared to 191 last year.” Meanwhile, “about 10,000 personnel will take part, compared to 12,000 last year.”

https://www.theweek.co.uk/news/world-news/russia/956623/what-should-we-expect-vladimir-putin-may-victory-parade What to Expect from Vladimir Putin’s Victory Day Parade on May 9th

Fry Electronics Team

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